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A strong central US storm brings severe thunderstorms to south-central and eastern Kansas Monday afternoon and evening, and 1 to 3 inches of wind-driven rain to Minnesota, the Dakotas and Wisconsin Monday into midweek. Drought is still severe to exceptional in central and southern Missouri, and low rivers are squeezing barge traffic, though this rain should help.
Drops to Green if Monday's Kansas storms stay scattered and the upper Midwest rain stays steady rather than heavyGoes Orange if Monday's Kansas storms form a damaging wind line with tornadoes, or Minnesota rain totals go well above 3 inches
This threat level is the 0400 Report's own assessment, not an official government alert, warning or declaration. For official alerts where you live, follow your local emergency officials and the National Weather Service. How we set it
Regions rate local conditions. Nationwide issues, like fuel prices, set the US level.
SPC has a Level 2 of 5 risk across south-central and eastern Kansas from late Monday afternoon into the evening, with damaging gusts the main threat and a few tornadoes possible. NWS Wichita expects storms to form around 3 to 6 p.m. and race into southeast Kansas in the evening.
NWS Twin Cities expects 1 to 2 inches of rain Monday through Wednesday, possibly more than 3 inches from northeast South Dakota into central Minnesota, over twice the normal November total. Gusts of 30 to 45 mph are expected Monday and Tuesday, with flight delays likely at MSP.
Extreme to exceptional drought covers much of central and southern Missouri, and drought is worsening in Illinois, Indiana and the northern Great Lakes. Missouri is under a state of emergency easing diesel and farm-truck weight rules through Dec. 31.
Minnesota has 42 measles cases this year, up from 26 in all of 2025, with separate outbreaks in rural Fillmore and Todd counties. State health officials expect the count to keep rising.
No significant outages.
No significant outages. Damaging gusts in Monday's Kansas storms and 30 to 45 mph winds in the Dakotas could cause scattered outages Monday and Tuesday.
Severe storms possible in Kansas Monday afternoon and evening, mainly damaging winds with a few tornadoes.
Severe storms possible in Kansas Monday afternoon and evening, mainly damaging winds with a few tornadoes. Heavy rain and gusty winds hit Minnesota, the Dakotas and Wisconsin Monday into Wednesday, and Missouri gets helpful rain with little severe threat.
Expect weather delays at MSP Monday and Tuesday and possible evening disruptions around Wichita and Kansas City Monday.
Expect weather delays at MSP Monday and Tuesday and possible evening disruptions around Wichita and Kansas City Monday. Low water at St. Louis and on the Ohio could lead to barge restrictions.
Measles outbreaks in Fillmore and Todd counties in Minnesota are growing.
Measles outbreaks in Fillmore and Todd counties in Minnesota are growing. Drought is severe to exceptional in Missouri.
National stories, like fuel prices and overseas conflict, are on the US page.
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