Thursday, November 12, 2026

Northeast

ME, NH, VT, MA, RI, CT, NY, NJ, PA, DE, MD, DC

Published 4:00 AM Central

YellowRegional levelUnchanged from yesterday

A strengthening coastal storm brings rain to most of the Northeast Thursday into Friday, a level 1 of 5 severe-storm risk in southeast Pennsylvania, Delaware and central New Jersey Thursday afternoon, minor tidal flooding at the Jersey Shore and Long Island, and Winter Weather Advisories for 2 to 5 inches of wet snow in the Adirondacks, Catskills and Vermont high ground. Forecast rain totals came down overnight, colder-than-normal air follows into the weekend, and Pennsylvania's measles count stands at 1,505 cases with six deaths.

Drops to Green if The low moves into the Gulf of Maine Friday night with only minor tidal flooding and advisory-level mountain snow, as forecast.Goes Orange if Thursday afternoon storms turn severe in the Philadelphia-Delaware-New Jersey corridor, or Friday tides push past minor flood levels on Long Island or Nantucket.

This threat level is the 0400 Report's own assessment, not an official government alert, warning or declaration. For official alerts where you live, follow your local emergency officials and the National Weather Service. How we set it

Regions rate local conditions. Nationwide issues, like fuel prices, set the US level.

SITREP What changed in this region

newSafety

Flatbush, Brooklyn: three-story building partly collapses into construction site; at least 2 dead, 17 hurt

Just after 4 p.m. Wednesday, Nov. 11, a three-story building with a store and apartments at 1321 Flatbush Ave. partially collapsed into an open construction site next door where workers were excavating, the FDNY said. ABC7 New York, citing officials, reported at least two dead and 17 injured, four of them critically; a Reuters headline put the toll at at least one dead and 10 injured. The FDNY commissioner said seven children are among the victims. Officials said they do not know how many people were inside, and the search continued overnight. The cause has not been determined. NYPD asked the public to avoid Bedford and Flatbush avenues; NYC Emergency Management and the Red Cross opened a reception center at the Flatbush YMCA for displaced households (ABC7).

ABC7 New York: At least 2 dead, 17 hurt after Brooklyn building collapse ABC7 New York: Brooklyn building collapse live updates Reuters (headline seen via Wikipedia portal; page blocked): building collapse in Brooklyn kills at least one, injures 10

ongoingWeather

Coastal storm Thursday into Friday: rain, a few strong storms, minor tidal flooding, mountain snow

NWS offices say low pressure moving from the Ohio Valley will redevelop off the New Jersey coast Thursday and deepen toward the Canadian Maritimes Friday into Saturday. The Storm Prediction Center put parts of southeast Pennsylvania, Delaware, eastern Maryland and southern to central New Jersey at marginal risk (level 1 of 5) of severe storms Thursday afternoon, with small to marginally severe hail, strong gusts and a low chance of a tornado. NWS New York expects rain totals either side of an inch, isolated 1.5 to 2 inches, and gusts of 25 to 30 mph; NWS Mount Holly lowered its rain forecast to about 0.5 to 1.25 inches north of the I-195 corridor and under half an inch from Philadelphia south. A Coastal Flood Advisory covers Ocean County, N.J., from 8 a.m. to 2 p.m. Thursday, and coastal flood statements cover southern Nassau and southern Fairfield. NWS Albany and NWS Burlington issued Winter Weather Advisories for 2 to 5 inches of wet snow in higher terrain of the Adirondacks, Catskills and Vermont through Friday morning; NWS Boston expects a coating to a few inches in the Berkshires and flagged possible minor flooding at Nantucket Harbor Friday afternoon. NWS Buffalo lowered its snow totals to a coating to 2 inches on higher ground.

SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (issued 11:21 p.m. CST Nov 11)NWS Mount Holly forecast discussion NWS New York forecast discussion NWS Mount Holly: Coastal Flood Advisory, Ocean County, N.J., 8 a.m.-2 p.m. Thursday NWS Albany: Winter Weather Advisory, southern Adirondacks and southern Vermont NWS Burlington: Winter Weather Advisory, Essex NY, Addison and Rutland VT NWS Boston forecast discussion NWS Buffalo forecast discussion

ongoingHealth

Measles: Pennsylvania at 1,505 cases, six deaths

The Pennsylvania Department of Health's Nov. 9 update counted 1,505 confirmed cases in 45 counties this year, 18 more than on Nov. 6, with 290 hospitalizations and six measles-associated deaths. Five cases were in vaccinated people. Reuters reported 73 new cases in the past seven days per the state dashboard. No newer state release was found early Thursday.

Pa. Department of Health: measles cases reach 1,505 in 45 counties (Nov 9)Reuters via U.S. News: Pennsylvania measles cases surpass 1,500 (Nov 9)

ongoingSafety

Ellendale, Del., Halloween party shooting: still no arrest

Delaware State Police said an unknown person fired from a neighboring property into a private party on Beach Highway on Oct. 31; a 17-year-old girl died and eight others were hurt. The State Police Homicide Unit is investigating. A Nov. 12 search found no arrest and no coverage newer than early November. Tips go to Delaware Crime Stoppers at 800-847-3333.

Delaware State Police: investigating deadly shooting in Ellendale (Nov 1)Delaware Public Media: police identify teen killed in Ellendale shooting (Nov 2)

Regional board Tap a line for detail

Power & utilities

watch

No large Northeast outages were found in Nov.

No large Northeast outages were found in Nov. 12 searches before the storm's main rain. NWS New York expects gusts of 25 to 30 mph Thursday night into Friday, possibly near 40 mph at Montauk, and NWS Baltimore-Washington expects 20 to 30 mph gusts Thursday afternoon through Friday; wet snow in the Adirondacks, Catskills and Vermont high ground could bring scattered outages. PJM's Nov. 5 winter outlook expects enough supply for a possible record winter peak; an outlook, not a current problem. PJM, NYISO, ISO-NE and utility outage pages were not opened.

NWS New York forecast discussion NWS Baltimore-Washington forecast discussion NWS Burlington: Winter Weather Advisory, Essex NY, Addison and Rutland VT PJM winter outlook (Nov 5)

Weather & hazards

elevated

Rain Thursday into Friday across the region; marginal (level 1 of 5) severe-storm risk Thursday afternoon in southeast Pennsylvania, Delaware, eastern Maryland and New Jersey.

Rain Thursday into Friday across the region; marginal (level 1 of 5) severe-storm risk Thursday afternoon in southeast Pennsylvania, Delaware, eastern Maryland and New Jersey. Coastal Flood Advisory for Ocean County, N.J., Thursday morning and early afternoon; minor flooding possible on southern Nassau and southern Fairfield coasts. Winter Weather Advisories for 2 to 5 inches of wet snow in the Adirondacks, Catskills and parts of Vermont through Friday morning; a coating to 2 to 3 inches in the Allegheny high ground of Maryland and the Poconos. Colder than normal this weekend, with dry weather into next week. NWS Baltimore-Washington said the storm will not end the area's dry stretch, with a tenth of an inch or less for most places.

SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (issued 11:21 p.m. CST Nov 11)NWS Mount Holly: Coastal Flood Advisory, Ocean County, N.J., 8 a.m.-2 p.m. Thursday NWS New York: Coastal Flood Statement, southern Nassau and southern Fairfield NWS Albany: Winter Weather Advisory, southern Adirondacks and southern Vermont NWS Albany: Winter Weather Advisory, western Greene and Ulster (Catskills)NWS Burlington: Winter Weather Advisory, Essex NY, Addison and Rutland VT NWS Baltimore-Washington forecast discussion

Travel & transport

watch

NJ Transit says weekday Midtown Direct trains stay diverted to Hoboken during the Portal North Bridge cutover, with regular service expected Sunday, Nov.

NJ Transit says weekday Midtown Direct trains stay diverted to Hoboken during the Portal North Bridge cutover, with regular service expected Sunday, Nov. 15, if safety testing finishes. NWS New York expects lower ceilings and possible IFR at New York-area airports Thursday afternoon, and NWS Pittsburgh expects rain and low clouds through Thursday; slower flights are possible. NWS Albany and Burlington say wet snow will make higher-elevation roads slippery for the Thursday evening and Friday morning commutes. No airport, rail or highway closures were found.

NJ Transit: Portal Bridge cutover NWS New York forecast discussion NWS Pittsburgh forecast discussion NWS Burlington: Winter Weather Advisory, Essex NY, Addison and Rutland VT

Health, water & safety

elevated

Brooklyn: a three-story building on Flatbush Avenue partly collapsed into a construction site Nov 11; officials reported at least two dead and 17 hurt and the search continued overnight (ABC7 New York). Pennsylvania measles: 1,505 cases, 290 hospitalizations, six deaths as of Nov. 9. Ellendale, Del.: 1 dead, 8 hurt Oct. 31, no arrest found. No new mass shooting, deadly crash or hazmat event was found in Northeast searches for Nov. 10-11. Brattleboro, Vt.: a Nov. 10 call threatening elementary schools led to shelter-in-place and secure-campus steps in two supervisory unions; police traced the call to New York state, and district officials said it looked like likely hoax activity such as swatting (Magic 96.7).

ABC7 New York: At least 2 dead, 17 hurt after Brooklyn building collapse Pa. Department of Health: measles cases reach 1,505 in 45 counties (Nov 9)Delaware State Police: investigating deadly shooting in Ellendale (Nov 1)Magic 96.7: police trace school threat call to New York (Brattleboro, Vt., Nov 10)

Elsewhere Other regions and the world

SoutheastYellow VA, WV, NC, SC, GA, FL, AL, MS, TN, KY The St. MidwestYellow OH, MI, IN, IL, WI, MN, IA, MO, ND, SD, NE, KS Lake-effect snow is falling in Upper Michigan, where a Winter Weather Advisory runs to noon Friday for 3 to 8 inches on higher ground, and NWS Chicago says several inches of slushy snow could fall near the Illinois-Indiana line Thursday night into the Friday morning commute. South CentralGreen TX, OK, LA, AR No watches or warnings over land in any of the region's anchor NWS offices this morning except a river flood advisory on Los Olmos Creek in Brooks County, Texas, and ERCOT lists no advisory or emergency. Mountain WestYellow MT, ID, WY, CO, UT, NV, AZ, NM U.S. PacificYellow WA, OR, CA, AK, HI Police arrested the driver in Tuesday's North Hollywood crash that killed three women on suspicion of DUI and three counts of murder; the cause remains under investigation. WorldOrange Global, as it affects Americans The Iran war still drives the world story that reaches American households: no US-Iran deal, Hormuz restricted, US naval blockade in place.

National stories, like fuel prices and overseas conflict, are on the US page.

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