Thursday, November 12, 2026

South Central

TX, OK, LA, AR

Published 4:00 AM Central

GreenRegional levelUnchanged from yesterday

No watches or warnings over land in any of the region's anchor NWS offices this morning except a river flood advisory on Los Olmos Creek in Brooks County, Texas, and ERCOT lists no advisory or emergency. Cold fronts bring frost and freeze chances to Oklahoma, Arkansas and north Louisiana this weekend with fire-spread concerns in dry Louisiana, then widespread rain returns late Saturday into Monday.

Goes Yellow if weekend rain turns heavy over saturated South Texas soils, or dry, gusty days in Louisiana bring damaging wildfires

This threat level is the 0400 Report's own assessment, not an official government alert, warning or declaration. For official alerts where you live, follow your local emergency officials and the National Weather Service. How we set it

Regions rate local conditions. Nationwide issues, like fuel prices, set the US level.

SITREP What changed in this region

ongoingWeather

Colder air this weekend: frost and freeze headlines likely in Oklahoma; fire-spread concerns in Louisiana

Cold fronts cross the region Thursday and Friday. NWS Tulsa says frost and freeze headlines are likely to be needed with cooler weather through the weekend. NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge says dry air and ongoing drought raise fire-spread concerns over northern parts of its area Thursday through Sunday (no outdoor burning in burn-ban areas), with frost possible in some northern areas Saturday and Sunday mornings. NWS Shreveport flags wildfire concerns Thursday from dry conditions and gusty winds, and NWS Little Rock expects seasonably cool weather through the weekend. None of these offices had watches or warnings in effect.

NWS Tulsa forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS Shreveport forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS Little Rock forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)

newWeather

Rain returns region-wide Saturday through Monday

NWS Norman expects most likely totals of a quarter inch to an inch across Oklahoma and western north Texas late Saturday into Sunday. NWS Austin/San Antonio gives medium (30-60%) rain chances Saturday and Sunday, NWS Brownsville 40-60% for Deep South Texas Saturday, and Amarillo and Lubbock expect cooler, wetter weather with some showers and storms this weekend. NWS Houston/Galveston says drier weather follows this morning's front through Friday, with rain chances returning late in the weekend and another front Monday. In Brooks County, Los Olmos Creek near Falfurrias remains under a flood advisory through Sunday; at 8.7 ft Wednesday evening it was near the 9 ft level at which FM 1418 closes.

NWS Norman forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS Austin/San Antonio forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS Brownsville forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS Houston/Galveston forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS active alerts for TX (read Nov 12, about 2:50 a.m. CT)

Regional board Tap a line for detail

Power & utilities

quiet

ERCOT's operations log (newest entry Nov 12, 1:16 a.m.) reports no sudden generation loss over 450 MW on Nov 11 and lists no advisory, watch or emergency; the Laredo DC tie to Mexico is on forced outage for all of Nov 12, and as of Nov 10 ERCOT listed the East DC tie out through 9 a.m.

Weather & hazards

watch

Only active land product in the region: a flood advisory on Los Olmos Creek near Falfurrias (Brooks County) through Sunday.

Only active land product in the region: a flood advisory on Los Olmos Creek near Falfurrias (Brooks County) through Sunday. The Devils River warning from Wednesday is no longer active. Houston/Galveston, Austin/San Antonio, Corpus Christi, Brownsville, Norman, Tulsa, Shreveport, Little Rock, New Orleans, Lubbock, Amarillo and El Paso list no watches or warnings. Coming: frost or freeze in Oklahoma, Arkansas and north Louisiana this weekend, fire-spread concerns in Louisiana Thursday-Sunday and Shreveport Thursday, and rain Saturday-Monday.

NWS active alerts for TX (read Nov 12, about 2:50 a.m. CT)NWS Shreveport forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS Tulsa forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)NWS El Paso forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)

Travel & transport

quiet

No weather-related travel hazards are forecast before the weekend rain.

Health, water & safety

watch

No new mass-casualty incident was found in the region for Nov 10-11.

No new mass-casualty incident was found in the region for Nov 10-11. San Antonio police reported two people hurt in an East Side shooting Tuesday night (KSAT). Searches found no newer report on the Deep Ellum Halloween shootings since Nov 10, when Dallas police sought three persons of interest in one killing (CBS Texas), or on the Nov. 9 Turner Turnpike crash after OHP's Nov 10 update. Drought and burn bans continue in parts of Louisiana (NWS).

KSAT (Nov 10-11): Two people injured in shooting on East Side, San Antonio police say CBS Texas (Nov 10): Dallas police seek 3 persons of interest in Deep Ellum shooting KJRH: OHP releases new details about Turner Turnpike crash NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge forecast discussion (Nov 11-12)

Elsewhere Other regions and the world

NortheastYellow ME, NH, VT, MA, RI, CT, NY, NJ, PA, DE, MD, DC A strengthening coastal storm brings rain to most of the Northeast Thursday into Friday, a level 1 of 5 severe-storm risk in southeast Pennsylvania, Delaware and central New Jersey Thursday afternoon, minor tidal flooding at the Jersey Shore and Long Island, and Winter Weather Advisories for 2 to 5 inches of wet snow in the Adirondacks, Catskills and Vermont high ground. SoutheastYellow VA, WV, NC, SC, GA, FL, AL, MS, TN, KY The St. MidwestYellow OH, MI, IN, IL, WI, MN, IA, MO, ND, SD, NE, KS Lake-effect snow is falling in Upper Michigan, where a Winter Weather Advisory runs to noon Friday for 3 to 8 inches on higher ground, and NWS Chicago says several inches of slushy snow could fall near the Illinois-Indiana line Thursday night into the Friday morning commute. Mountain WestYellow MT, ID, WY, CO, UT, NV, AZ, NM U.S. PacificYellow WA, OR, CA, AK, HI Police arrested the driver in Tuesday's North Hollywood crash that killed three women on suspicion of DUI and three counts of murder; the cause remains under investigation. WorldOrange Global, as it affects Americans The Iran war still drives the world story that reaches American households: no US-Iran deal, Hormuz restricted, US naval blockade in place.

National stories, like fuel prices and overseas conflict, are on the US page.

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