Monday, November 2, 2026

Midwest

OH, MI, IN, IL, WI, MN, IA, MO, ND, SD, NE, KS

Late edition · compiled 5:30 AM Central

YellowRegional levelUnchanged from yesterday

A strong Plains storm brings wind, steady rain and possible strong storms to the western and northern Midwest on Monday, then moves into the Mississippi Valley on Tuesday. Much of the region is in drought, including extreme to exceptional drought (D3-D4) over central and southern Missouri, so most of the rain is welcome, and no broad disruption is underway.

Drops to Green if Monday-Tuesday storms stay mostly below severe levels and the rain eases drought without flooding.Goes Orange if Storms on Monday night or Election Day bring widespread wind damage, outages or flash flooding in Missouri or Illinois.

This threat level is the 0400 Report's own assessment, not an official government alert, warning or declaration. For official alerts where you live, follow your local emergency officials and the National Weather Service. How we set it

Regions rate local conditions. Nationwide issues, like fuel prices, set the US level.

SITREP What changed in this region

newWeather

Plains storm brings wind, rain and possible strong storms Monday into Tuesday

WPC says a strong, deepening low over the Central High Plains brings gusty winds, locally heavy rain and possible severe storms to the Plains on Monday. It has a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) of excessive rain for much of the Midwest, highest from Texas through Missouri. In Kansas City, KSHB expects storms Monday afternoon through the night and says a couple could be strong to severe. In North Dakota and Minnesota, Valley News Live forecasts 2 to 3 inches of rain in central and southern areas by Tuesday night, with gusts of 25 to 35 mph. Tuesday's flash flood risk in Illinois is limited mainly to urban and low-lying areas.

NOAA Weather Prediction Center: short range and excessive rainfall discussions (Nov 1)KSHB 41: storm chances Monday (Nov 1)Valley News Live: early November system brings wet, windy conditions (Nov 1)

escalatingWater

Drought deepens in Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and the northern Great Lakes

The October 27 U.S. Drought Monitor says dryness worsened from southern and eastern Missouri through east-central Illinois and central Indiana. Extreme to exceptional drought (D3-D4, the top two steps of the 5-step D0 to D4 scale) covers a large part of central and southern Missouri. Moderate to exceptional drought (D1-D4) also expanded in part of the northern Great Lakes. WBAY in Green Bay expects 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain Monday through Wednesday, with the most in the drought-hit Northwoods.

U.S. Drought Monitor: national drought summary (Oct 27 map, released Oct 29)WBAY: showers Monday, wet weather through Wednesday (Nov 2)

ongoingHealth

Measles still circulating in Wisconsin and Ohio

CIDRAP reported Oct 29 that Wisconsin has 392 measles cases in 2026 (82 new in the past week), mostly tied to a southwestern outbreak in Grant, Iowa, Lafayette and Vernon counties, and Ohio has 296 (30 new).

Becker's Hospital Review: where major 2026 measles outbreaks stand (Oct 8)CIDRAP: US measles cases top 4,800 (Oct 29, 2026)

Regional board Tap a line for detail

Power & utilities

watch

No significant outages or grid alerts were found.

No significant outages or grid alerts were found. Gusty winds and strong storms Monday and Tuesday could cause scattered outages, especially in Missouri, Kansas and Illinois.

NOAA Weather Prediction Center (Nov 1)

Weather & hazards

elevated

A Plains storm brings wind, 2 to 3 inches of rain in parts of North Dakota and Minnesota, and possible strong storms in Kansas and Missouri Monday into Monday night.

A Plains storm brings wind, 2 to 3 inches of rain in parts of North Dakota and Minnesota, and possible strong storms in Kansas and Missouri Monday into Monday night. The system moves into the Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, Election Day, with isolated flash flood risk.

NOAA Weather Prediction Center (Nov 1)KSHB 41: storm chances Monday (Nov 1)Valley News Live: wet, windy conditions (Nov 1)

Travel & transport

watch

Wet, windy roads are likely Monday and Tuesday from the Plains to the upper Great Lakes, and 3 to 5 foot waves are forecast on Green Bay waters Monday.

Wet, windy roads are likely Monday and Tuesday from the Plains to the upper Great Lakes, and 3 to 5 foot waves are forecast on Green Bay waters Monday. No major rail, port or airport disruptions were found. Fuel is not notably different from the national average.

WBAY: showers and marine forecast (Nov 2)

Health, water & safety

elevated

Extreme to exceptional drought (D3-D4) covers much of central and southern Missouri, and drought is spreading in Illinois, Indiana and the northern Great Lakes.

Extreme to exceptional drought (D3-D4) covers much of central and southern Missouri, and drought is spreading in Illinois, Indiana and the northern Great Lakes. Measles outbreaks continue in Wisconsin and Ohio. No major civil emergencies were found.

U.S. Drought Monitor: national summary (Oct 27 map)Becker's Hospital Review: measles outbreaks (Oct 8)

Elsewhere Other regions and the world

NortheastYellow ME, NH, VT, MA, RI, CT, NY, NJ, PA, DE, MD, DC The Northeast is mostly quiet and dry under high pressure, with colder-than-normal air in New England. SoutheastYellow VA, WV, NC, SC, GA, FL, AL, MS, TN, KY Overnight, heavy rain caused flash flood warnings along Florida's east coast, and a Flood Watch for Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach runs until 3 p.m. South CentralYellow TX, OK, LA, AR A line of thunderstorms is forecast to cross north and central Texas and Oklahoma tonight into Tuesday morning, with damaging wind gusts the main hazard, and the Storm Prediction Center has a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) over parts of the area. Mountain WestYellow MT, ID, WY, CO, UT, NV, AZ, NM A multi-day storm brought heavy rain and a flash-flood threat to already soaked ground in the Four Corners over the weekend, peaking Sunday, plus heavy wet snow in the high Colorado and Utah ranges. PacificGreen WA, OR, CA, AK, HI The main item is the possible strike by maritime watchmen (port security workers) at Los Angeles and Long Beach. WorldOrange Global, as it affects Americans The Iran war remains the world item that reaches American households most directly.

National stories, like fuel prices and overseas conflict, are on the US page.

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